| 简介 |
Predicting and Managing Impacts from Catastrophic Events Using Weighted Period Event Tables ABSTRACT A system stochastically models events related to potential perils (e.g., hurricanes, terrorist attacks) using a weighted period event table. Both rare and likely events are captured in modeling with minimal computational overhead, allowing appropriate allocation of resources. Applications include disaster response, municipal planning, financial risk modeling and allocation, 1/7 START 101 Peril vulnerability module Event loss mean, variance at location coverage level Stochaistic analysis? No Scenario analysis analsis?105 104 Yes Weighted Period Sampie loss for each event in Local, global Event Table ape for achnevent in factors to consider 107T~ 105 correlation 10TWPET for all location coverages 108 Financial engine 139 Rick output for cents oth r U100 11G.1I |
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